There are many opportunities for Vietnam's exports to increase in 2021

VCN - This is the comment of economist, PhD. Le Duy Binh (photo), Managing Director of Economica Vietnam, in a conversation on the issue of clearing resources for economic growth in 2021.
Tuna exports to the US increase again Tuna exports to the US increase again
EVFTA facilitates Vietnamese coffee exports to Scandinavian market EVFTA facilitates Vietnamese coffee exports to Scandinavian market
With positive recovery, exports reached over US$229 billion in 10 months With positive recovery, exports reached over US$229 billion in 10 months
2820-4324-7-0102-ts-le-duy-binh

Exports are considered the main growth engine of the economy in 2021. What is your assessment of the outlook for export next year?

Exports are one of the positive points of 2020. Currently, exports still maintain the growth rate, especially with an export surplus over US$18 billion. This is a huge contribution to maintaining GDP growth of over 2% this year, demonstrating Vietnam's ability to maintain production capacity thanks to the pandemic being controlled and in the context of direct competition with Vietnam in some products, and is still heavily affected by the Covid-19 pandemic.

Regarding exports in 2021, Vietnam's economy still depends heavily on the demand of some major markets such as the US, Japan, South Korea, the EU, China and ASEAN, accounting for nearly 80% of the export turnover of Vietnam.

If the recovery of these markets is as fast and strong as predicted by some international organizations, Vietnam is likely to regain a high export growth rate as in 2019 and previous years and will contribute more positively to GDP growth. But if these markets recover slowly, Vietnam's export growth in the coming years may still achieve positive growth but will not reach as high as expected to contribute to the GDP growth target of 6% in 2021 set by the Government.

However, we have many advantages. First of all, Vietnam's production capacity is being maintained, domestic enterprises continue to be registered and FDI inflows continue to flow into Vietnam. These are the advantages for Vietnam's exports to break through in 2021. When the global market recovers, Vietnam will meet that demand very quickly and recover strongly compared to other countries.

In your opinion, how should the agricultural sector be strengthened in 2021?

- Through the Covid-19 pandemic, the agriculture sector proved to be a good support for the economy, ensuring food security while still providing raw materials for key export commodities. This area still shows its advantages to demonstrate Vietnam's competitiveness. The agricultural sector will become a highly competitive industry in Vietnam due to its geography, soil and agricultural productivity.

However, the development of agricultureis inseparable from the industrial sector. The benefits of agricultural production are mainly in the processing, distribution, and service stage. Therefore, Vietnam's approach will have to change and develop in chains, not pure agricultural development. Only focusing on agricultural production, not associated with market development, with the formation of chains will not create advantages for Vietnam in the long run and not bring the highest added value.

In order for agriculture to really become a solid pillar of the economy, agricultural development must go with the development of supporting industries such as services, logistics, distribution, marketing, processing industry and machines.

What should be done to improve public investment momentum in 2021?

- Public investment disbursement, if compared with previous years, saw many positive changes. One of the most obvious changes is the awareness and commitment in disbursement of public investment, from central to local levels, ministries, sectors, project management boards, and contractors.

Commitments and responsibilities to objects has become clearer and commitments are gradually being strengthened, showing that the awareness of the importance of fully disbursing public investment capital has witnessed a positive change. It is hoped that in 2021, this spirit will continue so that the disbursement of public investment will be accelerated from the first months of 2021, thereby accelerating the progress of the whole year.

Secondly, a series of problems about regulations as well as the way to implement this capital source have been adjusted, from the formulation of investment policies, project construction, allocation of investment capital, to disbursement procedures. This has contributed to solving the difficulties in the process of disbursing public investment capital.

In addition, drastic measures to change investment forms or ways to promote disbursement of public investment capital have been more flexible and innovative than in previous years. Along with strong pressure, it is expected that these changes will continue next year to further increase the disbursement of public investment capital in 2021.

In your opinion, what should be done to help businesses overcome this difficult period for development?

- In 2021, we still have to continue to improve the business investment environment, because although the GDP growth may be higher than some countries in the region, the quality of the business environment is still lowerthan many other countries.

In my opinion, supporting businesses includes three points. First, determine which businesses will be supported and what is the basis of the support. For businesses that are affected and have the ability to recover, we will support, with the goal of ensuring that businesses recover in a certain period of time. Second, the Covid-19 pandemic is like a screening test, we must accept that a series of businesseswill no longer continue the game.

This is also normal because in the market economy, the screening shows that there are a number of businesses and industries that are no longer appropriate, or the competitiveness of enterprises is limited.

Thirdly, it is necessary to stimulate a number of groups of enterprises with potential development, especially those that have the ability to lead to the development of a series of other enterprises, such as innovation enterprises, digital economic enterprises, and agricultural enterprises, high-tech agricultural enterprises, that if investing in them, theycan maintain and will lead to the development of satellite enterprises and businesses in industry clusters, or a whole value chain. This approach will be more relevant for 2021.

Thank you, Sir!

Dr. Vu Tien Loc, Chairman of Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry (VCCI):

In the direction and administration in the future, the Government should give priority to stability, considering the macro-economic stability as the foundation for all development plans.

To promote high growth while ensuring macroeconomic stability, the solution is to continue institutional reforms to promote business development and unclog investment capital.

We must determine to achieve the goal of bringing Vietnam into the group of three or four economies with the best business environment and competitiveness in ASEAN. The program of reviewing and removing overlapping regulations and inadequacies in the business law system started by the Government should be implemented more urgently and drastically.

In addition, to receive the new wave of FDI investment, we must correctly identify the nature of this investment wave as the shifting wave of supporting industries.

Therefore, the Government should soon develop a Draft on supporting industries to promote this important industry. If supporting industries cannot be developed and gradually rise to higher segments in the supply chains, even if we can attract tens or hundreds of billions of USD in FDI in the future, the economy will not be able to escape the situation of outsourcing, relying on cheap labor and a middle income trap.

Member of the National Assembly Nguyen Ngoc Phuong (QuangBinh), member of the Committee on social issues of the National Assembly:

In order to have a unity, create a breakthrough, and bring the economy to sustainable development in 2021 and the following years, I think that it is necessary to have additional mechanisms and solutions.

Firstly, it is necessary to identify the industrial sector as a breakthrough target in the socio-economic development strategy. In recent years, the agricultural sector has reached its peak. In the future, if you want to be rich and have a high income, industrial production is an important area, we must pay attention to industrial development in the future to make our economy undergo significant changes.

Secondly, it is necessary to drastically supplement the disbursement of public investment capital, the solution of planning and approving investment projects closely, without spreading, preventing and combating loss, waste, corruption and quickly complete projects.

Thirdly, it is necessary to realize the goal of not leaving any province behind. In fact, provinces and cities have opportunities for economic development, there are resolutions and regimes for implementing their own goals, with the opportunity to attract capital, businesses, and the provinces that have faced difficulties are facing even more difficulties in attracting investment, especially FDI.

Member of National Assembly Nguyen Van Chien (Hanoi):

Currently, the socio-economic development plan for 2021 has been drafted with the general goal set to focus on the achievement of the "dual" goal, both prevention and control of the pandemic and protection of human health, both recovering and developing socio-economic in a new normal state.

At the same time, some specific targets were also given, in which GDP growth is about 6-6.5%. Thus, compared with the expected results achieved in 2020, the GDP growth rate in 2021 is set at a high level. However, although the growth rate of 2020 is low, the target of 6-6.5% growth in 2021 is reasonable and fully achievable, because the global economy is gradually recovering.

It needs to improve the business environment, create a driving force to improve the competitiveness of the economy; reviewing, amending and supplementing legal documents, solving problems, difficulties, barriers to policy mechanisms, creating a favorable and equal business investment environment among businesses and people; perfecting the mechanism for private enterprises to have equal access to resources, especially in terms of investment capital and land.

By Huong Diu

By Thu Hien/KieuOanh

Related News

Fisheries exports estimated at 1.85 billion USD in Q1

Fisheries exports estimated at 1.85 billion USD in Q1

Fisheries export value was estimated at 1.85 billion USD in the first quarter (Q1) of this year, a fall of 27% compared to the same period last year due to lower consumption and import demand under the impacts of inflation and economic recession, according to the Vietnam Association of Seafood Exporters and Producers (VASEP).
Exports face many difficulties

Exports face many difficulties

VCN - In the first months of 2023, the absence of export orders plus the downward trend in commodity prices have slowed down trade activities.
Dong Nai Customs: understand the business situation to develop effective support solutions

Dong Nai Customs: understand the business situation to develop effective support solutions

VCN – Administrative reform and business support have been effectively promoted by Dong Nai Customs Department when businesses in the province are facing many difficulties and a sharp decline in imports and exports.

Latest News

Saigontex 2023 attracts over 1,300 domestic, foreign businesses

Saigontex 2023 attracts over 1,300 domestic, foreign businesses

More than 1,300 businesses from 21 countries and territories are participating in the Vietnam Textile & Garment Industry Expo (Saigontex) 2023, the leading exhibition of the industry in Southeast Asia, which opened in Ho Chi Minh City on April 5.
Mong Cai international border gate sees strong recovery

Mong Cai international border gate sees strong recovery

The Mong Cai international border gate in the northern province of Quang Ninh has become vibrant as before the pandemic, showing a positive sign in the economic recovery of Mong Cai city in particular and Quang Ninh province in general.
Vietnam a potential market for French businesses, investors: experts

Vietnam a potential market for French businesses, investors: experts

French businesses should innovate their approach, enhance their understanding of culture and language, and make changes to adapt to Vietnam's transitioning economy in order to expand their market share and boost investment in the Southeast Asian nation, said Dr. Jean-Philippe Eglinger, the founder of the Viet Phap Strategies.
Import and export turnover across Cao Bang prospers but still exists difficulties

Import and export turnover across Cao Bang prospers but still exists difficulties

VCN – After China resumes trade, Cao Bang province's import and export activities see remarkable prosperity.

More News

Cashew industry strives to "get on the shelves of world supermarkets"

Cashew industry strives to "get on the shelves of world supermarkets"

VCN - Although holding the number one position in the world in exporting cashew kernels for many years, the position of Vietnam's cashew industry in the world cashew value chain is very small because it mainly exports kernels with preliminary treatment.
HCM City’s industrial production index down 0.9% in Q1

HCM City’s industrial production index down 0.9% in Q1

Ho Chi Minh City’s Index of Industrial Production (IIP) in the first quarter of 2023 declined by 0.9% compared to the same period last year, the municipal Department of Industry and Trade reported at a press conference on April 3.
Quang Ninh aims to attract quality FDI inflows

Quang Ninh aims to attract quality FDI inflows

The northern coastal province of Quang Ninh has strengthened measures to attract quality foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows, especially from big names in the processing-manufacturing industry.
Manufacturing enterprises increase their competitiveness thanks to digital transformation

Manufacturing enterprises increase their competitiveness thanks to digital transformation

VCN - Overcoming difficulties in 2023 requires manufacturing enterprises to self-improve and innovate. Digital technology is one of the effective solutions to help manufacturing businesses grow and compete.
32nd Việt Nam Expo promises to boost business linkages

32nd Việt Nam Expo promises to boost business linkages

The 32nd Việt Nam International Exhibition (Vietnam Expo) will take place in Hà Nội from April 5-8 with the participation of more than 500 domestic and foreign enterprieses, the event’s organisers have announced.
Prevention of price risks before news that Indonesia increases rice imports in reserve

Prevention of price risks before news that Indonesia increases rice imports in reserve

VCN - In response to demand signals from key markets such as Indonesia and the Philippines, the Import-Export Department (Ministry of Industry and Trade) suggested that rice exporters actively monitor the market situation and fully assess the opportunities as well as risks to build a trading plan.
Japanese investors highly appreciate Vietnamese property market

Japanese investors highly appreciate Vietnamese property market

Representatives from around 180 Japanese businesses and investors on April 1 attended a Tokyo workshop on Vietnamese real estate, during which many of them highly appreciated the potential of Vietnam’s property market.
Seafood enterprises propose to remove obstacles from exporting to the EU

Seafood enterprises propose to remove obstacles from exporting to the EU

VCN - Seafood enterprises are facing inadequacies in applying for material certification (S/C) and food safety certificates (H/C), which affects the production and export of seafood to the EU.
Need to effectively use tools to prevent exchange rate risks in import and export field

Need to effectively use tools to prevent exchange rate risks in import and export field

VCN - The exchange rate pressure in 2023 is expected to be weaker than last year, especially in the context of tightening monetary policies reaching the final phase. However, fluctuations in the economy and financial markets are still very unpredictable, and exchange rate developments may affect import and export activities.
Read More

Your care

The system has not recorded your reading habits.

Please Login/Register so that the system can provide articles according to your reading needs.

Latest Most read
Saigontex 2023 attracts over 1,300 domestic, foreign businesses

Saigontex 2023 attracts over 1,300 domestic, foreign businesses

More than 1,300 businesses from 21 countries and territories are participating in the Vietnam Textile & Garment Industry Expo (Saigontex) 2023, the leading exhibition of the industry in Southeast Asia, which opened in Ho Chi Minh City on April 5.
Mong Cai international border gate sees strong recovery

Mong Cai international border gate sees strong recovery

The Mong Cai international border gate in the northern province of Quang Ninh has become vibrant as before the pandemic, showing a positive sign in the economic recovery of Mong Cai city in particular and Quang Ninh province in general.
Vietnam a potential market for French businesses, investors: experts

Vietnam a potential market for French businesses, investors: experts

French businesses should innovate their approach, enhance their understanding of culture and language, and make changes to adapt to Vietnam's transitioning economy in order to expand their market share and boost investment in the Southeast Asian nation, said Dr. Jean-Philippe Eglinger, the founder of the Viet Phap Strategies.
Import and export turnover across Cao Bang prospers but still exists difficulties

Import and export turnover across Cao Bang prospers but still exists difficulties

VCN – After China resumes trade, Cao Bang province's import and export activities see remarkable prosperity.
Cashew industry strives to "get on the shelves of world supermarkets"

Cashew industry strives to "get on the shelves of world supermarkets"

VCN - Looking back to 2022, while the export turnover of the cashew industry reached US $ 3.08 billion, the import turnover of raw cashews consumed US $ 2.678 billion.
Mobile Version